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Table 1 Estimated coefficients by ARIMA Model between SOI and logarithmic transformation of malaria cases in Cayenne General Hospital, 1996-2009*

From: The role of El Niño southern oscillation (ENSO) on variations of monthly Plasmodium falciparum malaria cases at the cayenne general hospital, 1996-2009, French Guiana

 

Coef.

Std. Err.

P.value

AR

0.3813

0.0941

< 0.001

MA

-0.8961

0.0479

< 0.001

SOI lag 3

-0.0121

0.0049

< 0.001

  1. *
  2. AR: Autoregressive parameter
  3. MA: moving average parameter
  4. AIC of the model: 261.12