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Table 4 Posterior estimates of intercept α, environmental regression coefficients β, of spatial and spatio-temporal variances obtained by fitting model B (Table 3), including 95% credible intervals.

From: Spatial and temporal patterns of malaria incidence in Mozambique

Variable

Mean

95% CI

P-value

Intercept ( α )

-4.248

-4.389, -4.124

None

Rainfall (mm)

-4.30E-04

-9.54E04, 1.01E-05

.059

 

Minimal Temperature (°C)

 

(11-16.4)

-.005

-.01, 1.11E--04

.055

(17-21.1)

2.85E-04

-.003, .005

.96

 

Maximum Temperature (°C)

 

(24.5-27)

-.001

-.006, .003

.55

(28-31)

.002

6.39E-04, .004

.001

(32-35)

.006

.003, .009

< .001

 

Relative Humidity (%)

 

(52-61.56)

.007

.004, .011

< .001

(62-72)

.006

.004, .007

< .001

(73-83)

.007

.005, .009

< .001

Temperature variation

5.24E-04

-.002 .003

.61

Spatial variation ()

3.686

.871, 10.81

None

Spatio-temporal variation ()

.2352

.214, .258

None