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Table 2 ARIMA regression of the monthly malaria incidence in children (2001-2009) against meteorological and hydrological factors in Camopi, French Guiana.

From: Environmental, entomological, socioeconomic and behavioural risk factors for malaria attacks in Amerindian children of Camopi, French Guiana

 

Coefficient

Standard Error

P value

AR*

0.293

0.110

0.004

SMA**

-1.000

0.275

<0.001

Maximum river level (lag 0)

0.003

0.002

0.020

Maximum river level (lag 1)

0.004

0.002

0.018

Mean of minimum temperature (lag 1)

0.278

0.140

0.023

Mean temperature (lag 2)

0.498

0.171

0.002

Minimum temperature (lag 3)

0.128

0.076

0.046

Minimum temperature (lag 9)

0.160

0.076

0.018

Number of days without rain (lag 9)

0.035

0.015

0.011

Minimum temperature (lag 11)

0.144

0.086

0.046

Mean of minimum temperature (lag 12)

0.355

0.153

0.010

  1. *AR: autoregressive parameter;** SMA: seasonal moving average parameter; AIC of the model = 232.58. Lag scale = months.