Skip to main content

Table 1 ARIMA regression model of the logarithm of monthly malaria cases (2001-2007) against meteorological factors in Cacao, French Guiana

From: Influence of climate and river level on the incidence of malaria in Cacao, French Guiana

 

MODEL (AIC = 145.23)

 
 

Coefficient

SEM

p-value

Minimum temperature

-0.272

0.15

0.007

Maximum temperature (lag 2)

-0.307

0.13

0.002

Maximum temperature (lag 9)

-0.312

0.098

0.001

Minimum level of river (lag 12)

0.0091

0.0032

0.005

AR

-0.084

0.176

0.635

MA

-0.719

0.098

0.000

Seasonal MA

-0.505

0.13

0.000

Constant

0.037

0.015

0.012

  1. AR: autoregressive term MA: moving average term