Figure 4
Observed and Simulated values of the end of the malaria season. Validation of LMM2010 simulations in terms of the end of the malaria season (ESeas) in the area of the 34 synoptic stations in West Africa as ordered for Figure 2. Each month is given a colour-coded rectangle representing the occasions for years between 1973 and 2006, when the malaria season finished in the model simulations. The simulated data (colour-filled rectangles) are compared to observed values (inserted as a digit). The frequency distribution (in numbers) regarding the simulated 34 values for 1973-2006 is given for each month. The frequencies of years with no ('no') and year-around ('C') transmission are also illustrated in the lowermost and topmost rows, respectively. The skill score in terms of ESeas (SC(ESeas)) is denoted for every station as a blue digit above the colour bar.