Source of Variance | Range (%) | Average (%) | Remaining variance after exclusion of each factor (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Buffer estimated by VEOs* | 1.7-11.9 | 5 | 36.8 |
Additional 5% village buffer†| - | 5 | 31.8 |
DMO 5% buffer‡ | - | 5 | 26.8 |
Additional nets due to bale rounding** | 3-7 | 5 | 21.8 |
Over-registration of children aged five years††| 0-20 | 7 | 14.8 |
Estimate of NBS projection error*** | - | 14.8 | N/A |
Total difference between order size and NBS projections | 12-68 | 42 | 42 |