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Table 2 Examples of total sample sizes required for field studies of second-generation vaccine to demonstrate non-inferiority or superiority (reported in 1,000s; assuming intention-to-treat)

From: MALVAC 2012 scientific forum: accelerating development of second-generation malaria vaccines

Power (1-β)

: 80%

Two-sided significance level (α)

: 5%

Control vaccine efficacy

: 50%

Follow-up time

: 2 years

Incidence rate in those not vaccinated

: 1/10 PYs

New vaccine efficacy (%)

Superiority

Non-inferiority margin

  

5%

10%

50

---

28.7

7.3

55

27.4

7.0

3.2

60

6.6

3.0

1.7

65

2.9

1.6

1.1

  1. Sample sizes are reported in 000’s and calculated using Z-test with continuity correction.