From: Defining and detecting malaria epidemics in south-east Iran
Areas Under ROC Curves | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Years of Baseline data | 4 years (excludes test year) | 5 years (includes test year) | ||
Minimum Epidemic Duration (Definition) | 4 weeks (Primary) | 3 weeks (Alternative) | 4 weeks (Primary) | 3 weeks (Alternative) |
Threshold Type (span) | ||||
Percentiles (1 week) | 0.9481 | 0.9492 | 0.9324 | 0.9321 |
Percentiles (3 week) | 0.9624 | 0.9634 | 0.9469 | 0.9480 |
Mean+SDs (1 week) (Cullen alerts of raw counts) | 0.9724 | 0.9702 | 0.9743 | 0.9718 |
Mean+SDs (3 week) (C-SUM alerts of raw counts) | 0.9845 | 0.9840 | 0.9634 | 0.9659 |
Geometric mean+SDs (1 week) (Cullen alerts of log counts) | 0.9647 | 0.9655 | 0.9607 | 0.9629 |
Geometric mean+SDs (3 week) (C-SUM alerts of log counts) | 0.9768 | 0.9778 | 0.9510 | 0.9541 |
χ2 for homogeneity (on 5 df's) | 67.95 | 63.25 | 52.84 | 58.62 |
P-value | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 | < 0.0001 |