Figure 7
From: Relative importance of climatic, geographic and socio-economic determinants of malaria in Malawi
Observed versus predicted malaria SMR in space and time. Scatter plot (a, e) and time series (b, f) of space aggregated observed versus posterior predictive mean malaria SMR for the 84 month time period. Root mean squared error (RMSE) of observed and posterior mean malaria SMR for the 27 districts of Malawi for the period July 2004 - June 2011 (c, g) for the five years and over (upper panel) and under five years (lower panel) age groups. The lower the RMSE, the better the model fit. Difference between RMSE for the model including climate information and RMSE for a model fit without climate information (d, h). Districts with negative values of RMSE clim - RMSE noclim (white) suggest that climate information improves the model in these areas. Districts with positive values of RMSE clim - RMSE noclim (grey) suggest that climate information does not improve the model.