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Table 5 Parameter estimates obtained from Bayesian spatial-temporal models on neonates, infants and older children survival in the Rufiji DSS

From: Relationship between child survival and malaria transmission: an analysis of the malaria transmission intensity and mortality burden across Africa (MTIMBA) project data in Rufiji demographic surveillance system, Tanzania

 

Neonates (0–28 days)

Infants (1–11 months)

Children (12–59 months)

Variable

HR (95% BCI)

HR (95% BCI)

HR (95% BCI)

Covariates

   

 Age

0.79 (0.77, 0.82) †

0.92 (0.88, 0.96) ‡

0.97 (0.96, 0.98) ‡

 ITN use

0.65 (0.39, 1.05)

0.72 (0.48, 1.07)

0.88 (0.62, 1.23)

 EIR (natural log)

1.15 (0.95, 1.36)

1.13 (0.98, 1.25)

1.04 (0.89, 1.18)

Other parameters

   

 Spatial range (in km)

56.32 (16.12, 82.15)

55.81 (17.2, 82.08)

54.62 (15.68, 82.06)

 Spatial variance

0.28 (0.13, 0.74)

0.29 (0.13, 0.80)

0.30 (0.13, 0.83)

 Temporal variance

0.22 (0.11, 0.57)

0.23 (0.11, 0.52)

0.26 (0.12, 0.70)

 Non-spatial variance

0.22 (0.11, 0.46)

0.21 (0.11, 0.46)

0.20 (0.10, 0.44)

 Autocorrelation

0.32 (−0.67, 0.98)

0.45 (−0.51, 0.94)

0.99 (−0.09, 1.00)

  1. †Age in days; ‡Age in months.