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Figure 11 | Malaria Journal

Figure 11

From: Modelling entomological-climatic interactions of Plasmodium falciparum malaria transmission in two Colombian endemic-regions: contributions to a National Malaria Early Warning System

Figure 11

Simulation results for the assumed basescenarios. (A) IFM denotes the monthly P. falciparum malaria incidence (gray bars) observed in Nuqui during the period November 1st 1997-December 31st 2003 (2,252-day simulation period). (B) IFEP denotes the P. falciparum malaria incidence (gray bars) observed per EP in El Bagre during the period January 3rd 1994 – December 28th 2002 (3,282-day simulation period). Variables Prev represent the daily malaria prevalence rates (solid lines) obtained by simulation using daily temperatures and the 'Vectorial Capacity' infectious disease model for constant vector densities.

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