Figure 13
Time series of model results for climate scenarios. IFEP denotesthe P. falciparum malaria incidence (black solid line) observed per EP in the El Bagre region during the period January 3rd, 1994 – December 28th, 2002 (3,282-day simulation period). Time series (S+1.0), (S+1.9) and (S+2.8) represent model results for increases of 1.0°C (solid line 1), 1.9°C (solid line 2) and 2.8°C (solid line 3), respectively, in mean daily ambient temperatures.