Figure 2

Admissions by month for the period January 1999 to March 2007 at three sites on the Kenyan coast. The top row is Kilifi, the middle row Kwale and the bottom Malindi. The graphs show malaria admissions (left column) and non-malaria admissions (right column) as dashed lines. The yellow solid line is a 13-point moving average applied to filter seasonal variation and highlight the long-term movements in the data. The two solid tone lines illustrate the change in admissions adjusted for seasonality (light grey) and seasonality, rainfall and non-malaria admissions (black). The intercept was chosen (from the potential 11) based on the maximal correlation with the 13-point m.a.