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Table 1 Parameter values and % reduction for Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax rate before and after the breakpoint obtained by using the variance of the Kolmogorov Zurbenko adaptive filter.

From: Malaria transmission pattern resilience to climatic variability is mediated by insecticide-treated nets

Species Parameter Before After % Reduction P
P.falciparum μ ^ MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGafqiVd0MbaKaaaaa@2D9B@ 11.56 ± 1.02 3.90 ± 1.15 66.26 B/A
  α ^ 1 MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGafqySdeMbaKaadaWgaaWcbaGaeGymaedabeaaaaa@2EA0@ 1.43 ± 0.42 0.72 ± 0.35 48.59 B/A
  α ^ 2 MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGafqySdeMbaKaadaWgaaWcbaGaeGOmaidabeaaaaa@2EA2@ 1.36 ± 0.44 0.94 ± 0.33 30.88 B/A
  σ ^ ε 2 MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGafq4WdmNbaKaadaqhaaWcbaGaeqyTdugabaGaeGOmaidaaaaa@306E@ 5.76 3.84 33.31 -
P.vivax μ ^ MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGafqiVd0MbaKaaaaa@2D9B@ 4.83 ± 0.62 2.33 ± 0.43 51.76 B/A
  α ^ 1 MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGafqySdeMbaKaadaWgaaWcbaGaeGymaedabeaaaaa@2EA0@ 0.55 ± 0.18 0.11 ± 0.16 80.00 B
  σ ^ ε 2 MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaafiart1ev1aaatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGafq4WdmNbaKaadaqhaaWcbaGaeqyTdugabaGaeGOmaidaaaaa@306E@ 1.17 0.53 54.31 -
  1. . % Reduction is defined as 1- (parameter value before breakpoint/parameter value after breakpoint). For P. falciparum the final model was:
  2. y t = μ + φ1(yt-1- μ) + φ12(yt-12- μ) + α1Tt-3+ α2Tt-12+ ε t and for P.vivax:
  3. y t = μ + φ1(yt-1- μ) + φ12(yt-12- μ) + α1Tt-10+ ε t Model selection process and all parameter values can be seen in Additional file 6. Column P (<0.05) indicates the significance of any parameter B (before breakpoint)/A(after breakpoint)