Skip to main content

Table 3 Estimated parameter values

From: Estimation of heterogeneity in malaria transmission by stochastic modelling of apparent deviations from mass action kinetics

Model for inoculum survival

 

Units

No imprecision in inoculation rate

Poisson imprecision in inoculation rate

Negative binomial imprecision in inoculation rate

   

point estimate

95% interval

point estimate

95% interval

point estimate

95% interval

mass action

S

proportion

0.18

0.15, 0.20

0.18

0.15, 0.20

0.23

0.17, 0.31

facilitation

E f * MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagaart1ev2aqatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGacaGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGaemyrau0aa0baaSqaaiabdAgaMbqaaiabcQcaQaaaaaa@2F45@

inoculations/fortnight

13.4

11.8, 15.1

15.1

11.6, 19.2

27.2

10.7, 52.8

facilitation

γ

dimension-less

1.17

1.00, 1.60

1.02

1.00, 1.08

1.00

1.00, 1.01

saturation

g

proportion

0.43

0.39, 0.47

0.65

0.56, 0.77

0.76

0.61, 0.96

saturation

β

fortnights/inoculation

1.89

1.40, 2.51

0.42

0.28, 0.62

0.29

0.17, 0.45

competition

E c * MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagaart1ev2aqatCvAUfKttLearuWrP9MDH5MBPbIqV92AaeXatLxBI9gBaebbnrfifHhDYfgasaacPC6xNi=xH8viVGI8Gi=hEeeu0xXdbba9frFj0xb9qqpG0dXdb9aspeI8k8fiI+fsY=rqGqVepae9pg0db9vqaiVgFr0xfr=xfr=xc9adbaqaaeGacaGaaiaabeqaaeqabiWaaaGcbaGaemyrau0aa0baaSqaaiabdogaJbqaaiabcQcaQaaaaaa@2F3F@

inoculations/fortnight

0.40

0.30, 0.52

0.22

0.10, 0.39

0.01

0.00, 0.03

competition

S inf

proportion

0.06

0.03, 0.08

0.11

0.07, 0.15

0.06

0.04, 0.09