District
|
Horizon 1
|
Horizon 2
|
Horizon 3
|
Horizon 4
|
---|
Criterion
|
Model (pdqPDQ)
|
Criterion
|
Model (pdqPDQ)
|
Criterion
|
Model (pdqPDQ)
|
Criterion
|
Model (pdqPDQ)
|
---|
Ampara
|
0.37
|
012SOH
|
0.48
|
012101
|
0.58
|
012101
|
0.60
|
012101
|
Anuradhapura
|
0.23
|
211101
|
0.37
|
210110
|
0.45
|
012110
|
0.51
|
210110
|
Badulla
|
0.43
|
110SOH
|
0.62
|
111SOH
|
0.75
|
212101
|
0.74
|
112100
|
Batticaloa
|
0.36
|
010011
|
0.54
|
012101
|
0.66
|
012101
|
0.78
|
012101
|
Colombo
|
0.35
|
011000
|
0.38
|
112000
|
0.43
|
211001
|
0.46
|
011000
|
Galle
|
0.49
|
212002
|
0.58
|
211101
|
0.63
|
211101
|
0.71
|
211110
|
Gampaha
|
0.40
|
011111
|
0.56
|
011SOH
|
0.67
|
011SOH
|
0.78
|
011SOH
|
Hambantota
|
0.31
|
010101
|
0.47
|
110101
|
0.60
|
210101
|
0.71
|
210101
|
Jaffna
|
0.42
|
010011
|
0.58
|
012111
|
0.74
|
012011
|
0.82
|
012SOH
|
Kalutara
|
0.54
|
112100
|
0.72
|
011000
|
0.79
|
110000
|
0.79
|
110000
|
Kandy
|
0.33
|
012101
|
0.43
|
012101
|
0.48
|
112SOH
|
0.51
|
212SOH
|
Kegalle
|
0.37
|
010SOH
|
0.55
|
211011
|
0.66
|
211SOH
|
0.75
|
211SOH
|
Kilinochchi
|
0.51
|
010101
|
0.95
|
010101
|
2.13
|
111010
|
2.13
|
010002
|
Kurunegala
|
0.25
|
011011
|
0.41
|
010011
|
0.53
|
011011
|
0.63
|
011011
|
Mannar
|
1.16
|
011100
|
0.97
|
012101
|
1.10
|
112100
|
1.18
|
111101
|
Matale
|
0.37
|
110101
|
0.53
|
110101
|
0.62
|
212011
|
0.70
|
112011
|
Matara
|
0.35
|
212101
|
0.40
|
011101
|
0.46
|
212101
|
0.49
|
0110111
|
Moneragala
|
0.29
|
110100
|
0.40
|
011100
|
0.48
|
210100
|
0.56
|
011100
|
Mullaitivu
|
1.03
|
111100
|
1.70
|
112000
|
2.00
|
110000
|
2.58
|
111SOH
|
Nuwara Eliya
|
0.48
|
212111
|
0.58
|
212101
|
0.66
|
212101
|
0.68
|
111000
|
Polonnaruwa
|
0.32
|
111101
|
0.47
|
012101
|
0.57
|
111011
|
0.66
|
111011
|
Puttalam
|
0.35
|
010101
|
0.46
|
010101
|
0.60
|
212101
|
0.72
|
010101
|
Ratnapura
|
0.30
|
011111
|
0.43
|
012111
|
0.50
|
210111
|
0.57
|
112111
|
Trincomalee
|
0.53
|
112000
|
0.79
|
010100
|
1.05
|
010100
|
1.15
|
112111
|
Vavuniya
|
1.22
|
012000
|
1.43
|
012101
|
1.41
|
211101
|
1.48
|
012101
|
- Legend: pdq = order of autoregressive component, integrated component and moving average component; PDQ = order of seasonal autoregressive component, seasonal integrated component and seasonal moving average component; SOH = seasonality through second order harmonic;