Indicator | Bayesian negative binomial regression models | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stationary | Non-stationary with ecological subregions | Non-stationary with fixed subregions | ||||
IRRa | 95% BCIb | IRRa | 95% BCIb | IRRa | 95% BCIb | |
Age (years) | ||||||
6-10 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
11-16 | 0.72 | 0.60, 0.85 | 0.71 | 0.60, 0.83 | 0.71 | 0.59, 0.83 |
Socioeconomic status | ||||||
Most poor | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
Very poor | 1.02 | 0.77, 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.75, 1.29 | 1.01 | 0.77, 1.30 |
Poor | 0.97 | 0.74, 1.26 | 0.96 | 0.73, 1.24 | 0.97 | 0.74, 1.25 |
Less poor | 1.14 | 0.85, 1.51 | 1.09 | 0.82, 1.43 | 1.10 | 0.83, 1.43 |
Least poor | 1.08 | 0.79, 1.44 | 1.04 | 0.76, 1.39 | 1.03 | 0.76, 1.37 |
Sleeping under a bed net | 0.86 | 0.63, 1.14 | 0.88 | 0.65, 1.17 | 0.87 | 0.65, 1.16 |
Bed net coverage (%) | ||||||
< 25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
≥ 25 | 0.51 | 0.24, 0.98 | 0.49 | 0.27, 0.82 | 0.50 | 0.26, 0.90 |
Presence of swamps for rice cultivation | 1.11 | 0.71, 1.63 | 1.23 | 0.80, 1.77 | 1.13 | 0.73, 1.67 |
Distance to irrigated field (m) | ||||||
< 500 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
500-999 | 0.74 | 0.17, 2.23 | 0.66 | 0.23, 1.48 | 0.64 | 0.21, 1.59 |
≥ 1000 | 0.92 | 0.35, 2.14 | 0.95 | 0.47, 1.74 | 0.89 | 0.39, 1.76 |
Presence of pasture | 0.99 | 0.57, 1.59 | 0.88 | 0.57, 1.32 | 0.92 | 0.58, 1.43 |
NDVI (categorized) | ||||||
< 0.65 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
0.65-0.70 | 1.42 | 0.81, 2.43 | 1.57 | 0.95, 2.40 | 1.61 | 0.97, 2.49 |
> 0.70 | 0.76 | 0.42, 1.33 | 0.78 | 0.46, 1.24 | 0.78 | 0.46, 1.24 |
Mean rainfall during transmission season | 1.28 | 1.00, 1.61 | 1.24 | 1.01, 1.51 | 1.20 | 0.95 1.54 |
Maximum LST | 0.93 | 0.75, 1.15 | 0.95 | 0.76, 1.15 | 0.93 | 0.72, 1.16 |
Distance to rivers (m) | ||||||
< 500 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
500-999 | 1.13 | 0.68, 1.74 | 1.08 | 0.73, 1.56 | 1.03 | 0.66, 1.56 |
≥ 1000 | 0.72 | 0.44, 1.09 | 0.71 | 0.46, 1.08 | 0.63 | 0.42, 0.94 |
r c | 0.16 | 0.16, 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.16, 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.16, 0.17 |
ρ 1 d | 0.0016 | 0.0005, 0.003 | 0.0014 | 0.0002, 0.002 | 0.0013 | 0.0002, 0.002 |
ρ 2 | 0.0016 | 0.0005, 0.003 | 0.0016 | 0.0005, 0.003 | ||
ρ 3 | 0.0013 | 0.0002, 0.002 | ||||
σ 1 2e | 0.33 | 0.17, 0.57 | 0.14 | 0.02, 0.39 | 0.13 | 0.02, 0.39 |
σ 2 2 | 1.20 | 0.40, 3.08 | 0.58 | 0.26, 1.16 | ||
σ 3 2 | 0.21 | 0.03, 0.60 | ||||
DIC f | 46,047.4 | 46,044.9 | 46,045.3 |