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Table 6 Results of Poisson Regression Model: PRM; Negative Binomial Regression Model: NBRM.

From: The role of ENSO in understanding changes in Colombia's annual malaria burden by region, 1960–2006

Dependent Variable:

Mal_Tot

 

Mal_Tot

 

Type of Model

PRM

 

NBRM

 

PRM

 

NBRM

 

Nobs

47

 

47

 

47

 

47

 

DF

42

 

42

 

42

 

42

 

ENSO Measure

ENSO_Avg

 

ENSO_Dom

 

Model

        

Deviance

114465.6

 

47.3

 

119277.8

 

47.4

 

Deviance/DF

2725.37

 

1.13

 

2839.95

 

1.13

 

Parameters

PRM

S

NBRM

S

PRM

S

NBRM

S

Intercept

9.6067

***

9.5399

***

9.5926

***

9.5293

***

Trend1

0.0650

***

0.0677

***

0.0657

***

0.0683

***

Trend2

-0.1545

***

-0.1640

***

-0.1541

***

-0.1625

***

Vextre

-0.7768

***

-0.7941

***

-0.8539

***

-0.8901

***

ENSO Measure

0.1512

***

0.1626

**

0.0937

**

0.0893

**

Dispersion♣

  

0.0386

   

0.0414

 

Tests

        

W:BLT vs (BLT + ENSO ]

29602.6

***

9.2

***

24790.4

***

5.9

**

  1. Colombia's Total Malaria Cases Models: Mal_Tot. Yearly data 1960–2006.
  2. Nobs: Number of observations available for the model;
  3. DF: Degrees of Freedom; BLT: Some or all of Base Line Trends (including vextre)
  4. Test: Wald Test, W, LR; High value or number of stars means reject in favor of the last model used in the test, [];
  5. S: Significance: P-value ≤ 0.01: ***; 0.01 < P-value ≤0.05: **; 0.05 ≤ P-value < 0.10: *; P-value > 0.1 (NS)
  6. ♣: All confidence intervals at 95% confidence of the dispersion parameter do not include zero inside their boundaries
  7. Coefficients and their approximate statistical significances are shown for both Poisson (PRM) and Negative Regression Binomial (NBRM) models, each for either of the two ENSO indices (ENSO_Avg and ENSO_Dom).