From: Towards malaria risk prediction in Afghanistan using remote sensing
Province | Mos. of Data | Trend | Sine | Cosine | ARt-1 | Other Selected Variables | Est. Coeff. (p-value) | Fit R2 | Pred. R2 | Fit RMSE | Pred. RMSE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Badakhshan | 38 | 233.86 (0.013) | 586.779 (0.2066) | 768.54 (0.044) | -0.289 (0.099) | Tt | 56.453 (0.0088) | 0.83 | 0.74 | 249.31 | 521.30 |
 |  |  |  |  |  | NDVIt-1 | 6832.8 (0.0375) |  |  |  |  |
Baghlan | 33 | Â | 74.1832 (0.3396) | -131.4 (8E-04) | 0.591 (0.001) | NDVIt-3 | 1987.3 (0.0279) | 0.73 | 0.30 | 111.68 | 157.59 |
Balkh | 39 | 95.029 (0.004) | -24.825 (0.3368) | 49.655 (0.037) | 0.261 (0.166) | Â | Â | 0.71 | 0.04 | 82.58 | 157.15 |
Bamyan | 36 | Â | 215.355 (0.0002) | 170.47 (0.002) | 0.442 (0.003) | Tt | 8.8078 (0.0007) | 0.72 | 0.31 | 36.67 | 98.30 |
 |  |  |  |  |  | NDVIt-1 | 901.67 (0.0011) |  |  |  |  |
Farah | 32 | -23.88 (0.042) | -15.517 (0.202) | -11.69 (0.28) | 0.375 (0.045) | Pt-3 | 0.7921 (0.018) | 0.73 | 0.72 | 25.89 | 24.56 |
Faryab | 38 | 144.49 (0.027) | -244.84 (0.001) | -223.7 (0.003) | 0.359 (0.036) | NDVIt-3 | -2003.7 (0.0094) | 0.79 | 0.03 | 148.07 | 453.55 |
Ghazni | 34 | Â | 114.143 (0.085) | -236.1 (1E-04) | 0.077 (0.557) | ARt-3 | 0.884 (1E-06) | 0.80 | 0.95 | 67.05 | 148.21 |
 |  |  |  |  |  | Tt-3 | 9.285 (0.008) |  |  |  |  |
Ghor | 33 | Â | -81.766 (0.0008) | -57.95 (0.001) | 0.111 (0.597) | NDVIt | -649.3 (0.008) | 0.77 | 0.67 | 30.00 | 110.12 |
Hirat | 41 | Â | 287.797 (0.0675) | 21.191 (0.84) | 0.62 (6E-08) | Tt-1 | 16.72 (0.0495) | 0.88 | 0.95 | 142.04 | 114.05 |
 |  |  |  |  |  | NDVIt-3 | 5785.3 (0.0045) |  |  |  |  |
Jawzjan | 28 | Â | -20.164 (0.6149) | -115.9 (0.025) | 0.121 (0.654) | ARt-2 | 1.179 (0.015) | 0.64 | 0.18 | 110.03 | 296.63 |
Kabul | 33 | 114.95 (0.004) | 79.3475 (0.2133) | -141 (0.002) | 0.368 (0.066) | Tt-3 | 7.22 (0.036) | 0.86 | 0.74 | 52.59 | 177.14 |
Kandahar | 41 | Â | -61.739 (0.0246) | -50.58 (0.119) | 0.838 (2E-13) | NDVIt-3 | 3377.7 (0.0153) | 0.89 | 0.003 | 96.69 | 182.35 |
Khost | 29 | 52.91 (0.01) | -121.83 (2E-05) | 31.113 (0.133) | -0.108 (0.555) | ARt-3 | -0.485 (0.002) | 0.85 | 0.85 | 32.73 | 66.68 |
Kunar | 20 | Â | -591.44 (0.0929) | -273.9 (0.244) | 0.685 (1E-03) | Â | Â | 0.87 | 0.07 | 486.76 | 1227.8 |
Laghman | 21 | 546.22 (0.014) | -336.92 (0.0138) | -227.3 (0.01) | -0.431 (0.16) | Â | Â | 0.64 | 0.03 | 153.47 | 527.21 |
Nangarhar | 17 | Â | -37.264 (0.7778) | -226.9 (0.03) | 0.68 (0.037) | ARt-3 | 0.692 (0.04) | 0.86 | 0.02 | 101.51 | 892.51 |
Paktika | 31 | 80.561 (2E-04) | 95.2655 (0.0059) | -9.201 (0.431) | 0.912 (2E-06) | ARt-3 | -0.443 (0.005) | 0.94 | 0.17 | 24.42 | 314.76 |
 |  |  |  |  |  | Tt-2 | 5.677 (0.005) |  |  |  |  |
 |  |  |  |  |  | NDVIt-2 | 1421.04 (0.0714) |  |  |  |  |
Paktya | 28 | Â | -100.69 (0.0078) | -42.4 (0.047) | 0.28 (0.215) | Â | Â | 0.76 | 0.74 | 55.24 | 115.36 |
Samangan | 36 | Â | -2.1022 (0.9324) | -30.82 (0.141) | 0.656 (3E-04) | Â | Â | 0.53 | 0.01 | 71.57 | 39.52 |
Sari Pul | 27 | Â | -26.792 (0.2226) | 28.848 (0.267) | 1.018 (4E-04) | NDVIt-4 | -1004.8 (0.01516) | 0.77 | 0.13 | 36.11 | 90.42 |
Takhar | 37 | Â | 918.364 (0.0137) | 955.91 (0.077) | 0.733 (8E-08) | Tt | 64.835 (0.0151) | 0.92 | 0.95 | 340.25 | 239.61 |
 |  |  |  |  |  | NDVIt-1 | 8005.4 (0.0017) |  |  |  |  |
Uruzgan | 41 | Â | -5.1359 (0.5149) | -0.764 (0.923) | 0.219 (0.218) | Â | Â | 0.07 | 0.43 | 30.72 | 44.06 |
Wardak | 30 | Â | -17.142 (0.0022) | -4.778 (0.272) | -0.421 (0.048) | Â | Â | 0.42 | 0.78 | 13.31 | 5.69 |