Figure 2
From: How absolute is zero? An evaluation of historical and current definitions of malaria elimination
Maximum R C at which the probability of failing to meet elimination criteria of fewer than three epidemiologically-linked local cases in three consecutive years is kept below risk thresholds. Thresholds of 1% (blue), 5% (red), 25% (green), or 50% (yellow) risk of failure are depicted, assuming the number of cases resulting from each case follows a Poisson distribution with mean = variance = RC.