Table 2 Best fitted distributions, Akaike Information Criterion (AICs), and estimated median ages (IQR) ∫ for each severe outcome and each cell of the transmission intensity-seasonality matrix
Transmission Matrix category | Cerebral malaria | Severe Malarial Anaemia | Respiratory Distress | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Best fitted model | AIC | Median age (IQR) | Best fitted model | AIC | Median age (IQR) | Best fitted model | AIC | Median age (IQR) | |
Marked Seasonality: | |||||||||
EIR < 10 pppy | Log-Logistic | 13272 | 49 (31-72) | Log-Logistic | 14146 | 27 (16-44) | Log-Logistic | 7501 | 34 (19-57) |
EIR 10-100 pppy | Gamma | 4420 | 42 (25-64) | Log-Logistic | 4799 | 25 (15-40) | Log-Normal | 1161 | 36 (20-61)Ω |
EIR > 100 pppy | Log-Normal | 497 | 34 (19-57) | Weibull | 259 | 30 (15-52) | - | - | - |
No marked seasonality | |||||||||
EIR < 10 pppy | Log-Normal | 672 | 41 (26-63) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
EIR 10-100 pppy | Log-Logistic | 20714 | 29 (18-47) | Log-Normal | 47782 | 17 (10-29) | Log-Normal | 20334 | 21 (12-36) |
EIR > 100 pppy | - | - | - | Log-Logistic | 3697 | 15 (9-25) | Log-Normal | 523 | 23 (15-37)¥ |