Changing malaria intervention coverage, transmission and hospitalization in Kenya

Table 2 Parameter estimates, confidence intervals and P-values from the full segmented ARMAX regression models predicting mean monthly numbers of malaria cases per month in eight hospitals over time

		Mean before scale up	Baseline trend	Mean after scale up	Trend change after scale up
Western/Lakeside
	Coefficient	2.2189	-0.0038	-0.0797	0.0251
Bungoma DGH	95% CI	-5.8433 -	-0.0185 -	-0.4578 -	0.0043 -
	P-value	0.2811	0.0109	0.2985	0.0459
		0.5900	0.6100	0.680	*0.018*
		12.5782	-0.0213	-0.5247	0.0292
Kisumu DGH	Coefficient	5.7537 -	-0.0341 - -	-0.8117 - -	0.0062 -
	95% CI	19.4028	0.0086	0.2377	0.0521
	P-value	*0.000*	*0.001*	*0.000*	*0.013*
		7.3604	-0.0125	-0.1275	0.0557
Siaya DGH	Coefficient	-7.9641 -	-0.0405 -	-0.9069 -	0.0138 -
	95% CI	22.6849	0.0156	0.6519	0.0975
	P-value	0.347	0.384	0.749	*0.009*
Highlands
		2.9036	-0.0043	-0.1847	-0.0014
Kericho DGH	Coefficient	-3.1163 -	-0.0156 -	-0.5648 -	-0.0210 -
	95% CI	8.9234	0.0070	0.1954	0.0182
	P-value	0.344	0.457	0.341	0.888
		6.10113	-0.00892	-0.59444	0.00019
Kisii DGH	Coefficient	-0.3973 -	-0.0209 -	-1.0789 - -	-0.0148 -
	95% CI	12.5996	0.0031	0.1100	0.0152
	P-value	0.066	0.146	*0.016*	0.980
Coastal
		7.2789	-0.0131	-0.0382	0.0094
Kilifi DGH	Coefficient	3.3066 -	-0.0207 - -	-0.3036 -	-0.0069 -
	95% CI	11.2512	0.0056	0.2272	0.0256
	P-value	0.000	*0.001*	0.778	0.260
		7.6455	-0.0134	-0.0587	0.0072
Malindi DGH	Coefficient	2.6559 -	-0.0229 - -	-0.3656 -	-0.0111 -
	95% CI	12.6351	0.0040	0.2483	0.0255
	P-value	*0.003*	*0.005*	0.708	0.441
	Coefficient	4.3503	-0.0078	-0.1287	0.0143
Msambweni DGH	95% CI	2.7546 -	-0.0108 - -	-0.2452 - -	0.0080 -
	P-value	5.9459	0.0048	0.0122	0.0206
		*0.000*	*0.000*	*0.030*	*0.000*