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Table 2 Parameter estimates, confidence intervals and P-values from the full segmented ARMAX regression models predicting mean monthly numbers of malaria cases per month in eight hospitals over time

From: Changing malaria intervention coverage, transmission and hospitalization in Kenya

   Mean before scale up Baseline trend Mean after scale up Trend change after scale up  
Western/Lakeside       
  Coefficient 2.2189 -0.0038 -0.0797 0.0251  
Bungoma DGH 95% CI -5.8433 - -0.0185 - -0.4578 - 0.0043 -  
  P-value 0.2811 0.0109 0.2985 0.0459  
   0.5900 0.6100 0.680 0.018  
   12.5782 -0.0213 -0.5247 0.0292  
Kisumu DGH Coefficient 5.7537 - -0.0341 - - -0.8117 - - 0.0062 -  
  95% CI 19.4028 0.0086 0.2377 0.0521  
  P-value 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.013  
   7.3604 -0.0125 -0.1275 0.0557  
Siaya DGH Coefficient -7.9641 - -0.0405 - -0.9069 - 0.0138 -  
  95% CI 22.6849 0.0156 0.6519 0.0975  
  P-value 0.347 0.384 0.749 0.009  
Highlands       
   2.9036 -0.0043 -0.1847 -0.0014  
Kericho DGH Coefficient -3.1163 - -0.0156 - -0.5648 - -0.0210 -  
  95% CI 8.9234 0.0070 0.1954 0.0182  
  P-value 0.344 0.457 0.341 0.888  
   6.10113 -0.00892 -0.59444 0.00019  
Kisii DGH Coefficient -0.3973 - -0.0209 - -1.0789 - - -0.0148 -  
  95% CI 12.5996 0.0031 0.1100 0.0152  
  P-value 0.066 0.146 0.016 0.980  
Coastal       
   7.2789 -0.0131 -0.0382 0.0094  
Kilifi DGH Coefficient 3.3066 - -0.0207 - - -0.3036 - -0.0069 -  
  95% CI 11.2512 0.0056 0.2272 0.0256  
  P-value 0.000 0.001 0.778 0.260  
   7.6455 -0.0134 -0.0587 0.0072  
Malindi DGH Coefficient 2.6559 - -0.0229 - - -0.3656 - -0.0111 -  
  95% CI 12.6351 0.0040 0.2483 0.0255  
  P-value 0.003 0.005 0.708 0.441  
  Coefficient 4.3503 -0.0078 -0.1287 0.0143  
Msambweni DGH 95% CI 2.7546 - -0.0108 - - -0.2452 - - 0.0080 -  
  P-value 5.9459 0.0048 0.0122 0.0206  
   0.000 0.000 0.030 0.000