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Table 3 Predicted number of children <5 years with malaria parasites in the blood (per province)

From: Geographical patterns and predictors of malaria risk in Zambia: Bayesian geostatistical modelling of the 2006 Zambia national malaria indicator survey (ZMIS)

Province Prev 1 (in %) Children <5 years Infected Children 95%CI Prev 2 (in %)
Central 26.0 182,847 34,572 21,589 50,252 18.9
Copperbelt 23.3 311,317 37,763 18,572 70,719 12.1
Eastern 37.4 240,137 66,614 46,297 87,219 27.7
Luapula 32.0 125,049 37,943 29,039 47,638 30.3
Lusaka 31.8 275,120 20,134 8,121 46,849 7.3
North-Western 21.0 128,935 29,011 16,200 51,616 22.5
Northern 39.1 277,764 106,322 79,379 135,701 38.3
Southern 18.8 243,743 33,430 19,862 53,854 13.7
Western 14.4 147,229 20,321 12,730 30,232 13.8
Total 26.4 1,932,141 386,110 251,789 574,080 20.0
  1. Estimates are based on the mean and the 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the posterior predictive distribution of the non-spatial model with linear terms.
  2. Prev 1: Model based risk estimates
  3. Prev 2: Model-based population-adjusted prevalence