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Table 1 Response series (confirmed malaria) and potential clinical and environmental predictors series

From: Forecasting malaria in a highly endemic country using environmental and clinical predictors

Series

Description

Clinical data

 Confirmed malaria

Number of individuals with positive microscopy or rapid diagnostic test of malaria

 Negative for malaria

Number of suspected (presence of fever) tested negative for malaria

 Proportion tested

Proportion of suspected (presence of malaria) tested for malaria

 Appropriate treatmenta

Number of individuals who received appropriate anti-malarial prescriptions based upon their malaria status and NMCP treatment guidelines

 Artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT)

Number of ACTs prescriptions

 Appropriate ACTa

Number of individuals who were appropriately prescribed ACTs according to guidelines and malaria status

 Quinine

Number of quinine prescriptions

 Appropriate quininea

Number of individuals who were appropriately prescribed quinine according to guidelines and malaria status

 Chloroquine

Number of chloroquine prescriptions

 Inappropriate chloroquine

Number of individuals who were prescribed chloroquine

Environmental data

 Daytime temperature

Temperature at 3 pm (8-day composite image)

 Nighttime temperature

Temperature at 3 am (8-day composite image)

 Total rainfall

Cumulative sum of daily rainfall over a week period

 Log total rainfall

Log of cumulative sum of daily rainfall over a week period

 Mean rainfall

Mean daily rainfall over a week period

 Minimum rainfall

Minimum daily rainfall over a week period

 Maximum rainfall

Maximum daily rainfall over a week period

 Rainfall range

Difference between the maximum and minimum rainfall over a week period

 Vegetation

Enhanced vegetation index (16-day composite image)

  1. aInappropriate treatment was also a potential predictor which was the opposite of appropriate treatment (e.g., the number of individuals who were not prescribed an ACT when they should have or were prescribed inappropriately).