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Table 4 Error for selected forecast horizons by UMSP site

From: Forecasting malaria in a highly endemic country using environmental and clinical predictors

Site

Horizon 1 (%)

Horizon 4 (%)

Horizon 12 (%)

Horizon 26 (%)

Horizon 52 (%)

Average (%)a

Aduku

31.6

43.2

62.1

73.7

99.5

70.7

Kamwezi

57.8

117.0

125.6

147.1

127.0

127.8

Kasambya

31.3

42.8

56.0

42.9

13.5

46.6

Kihihi

20.9

31.1

46.3

31.2

33.4

37.0

Nagongera

19.4

27.8

32.5

31.9

2.0

26.3

Walukuba

22.1

30.7

35.2

37.3

34.6

30.8

  1. aAverage error across all forecast horizons (horizons 1–52).