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Table 1 Skill measures

From: Predictability of epidemic malaria under non-stationary conditions with process-based models combining epidemiological updates and climate variability

  Kutch Barmer Bikaner Jaisalmer
Pf Pv Pf Pv Pf Pv Pf Pv
Past 0.985 0.901 0.992 0.997 0.840 0.807 0.802 0.994
Future(1) −2.027 0.567 0.653 0.926 −0.225 0.644 0.591 0.555
Future(2) 0.463 0.785 0.979 0.749 0.064 0.709 0.913 0.407
  1. Values of prediction skill are shown for Kutch, Barmer, Bikaner and Jaisalmer
  2. ‘Past’ skill is computed for the years 1986–2003, and the two future skills are computed for the years 2004–2011 for Kutch, and 2004–2009 for the other districts
  3. Future skills for the two forecast methods are labelled Future(1) and Future(2), respectively