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Table 3 Best-fitted vaccine efficacy profiles for the 6–12 weeks and 5–17 months cohorts when fitting to 3-month incidence data from the RTS,S Phase III trial

From: The time-course of protection of the RTS,S vaccine against malaria infections and clinical disease

Cohort

Initial efficacy against infection at completion of 3rd dose (%)

Half-life of efficacy against infection (months)

Decay (Weibull decay shape parameter)

Boosting efficacy against infection at 4th dose (%)

Exponential decay

 6–12 weeks

57.5 (95 % CI 40.1–71.2)

7.4 (95 % CI 6.1–10.4)

Exponential

48.5 (95 % CI 32.8–64.3)

 5–17 months

72.5 (95 % CI 57.7–83.7)

7.9 (95 % CI 6.1–11.0)

Exponential

39.2 (95 % CI 30.6–53.4)

Weibull decay

 6–12 weeks

64.9 (95 % CI 44.0–83.2)

7.2 (95 % CI 6.0–9.8)

0.84 (95 % CI 0.64–0.99)

55.2 (95 % CI 34.5–73.1)

 5–17 months

91.1 (95 % CI 74.5–99.7)

7.32 (95 % CI 6.0–10.0)

0.69 (95 % CI 0.54–0.9)

49 (95 % CI 32–68.6)

  1. Posterior distributions described by mean and 95 % credible interval