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Table 2 Percentage of simulated data sets detecting a change point where there is none using AIC for the comparison of the simple reverse catalytic model assuming stable transmission against the same model assuming a change in transmission

From: Sample size and power calculations for detecting changes in malaria transmission using antibody seroconversion rate

SCR (EIR)a

Sample size

AIC

0.0969 (10)

100

0.0

 

250

0.0

 

500

0.0

0.0324 (1)

100

0.0

 

250

0.0

 

500

0.0

0.0108 (0.1)

100

0.0

 

250

0.0

 

500

0.0

0.0036 (0.01)

100

0.0

 

250

0.0

 

500

0.0

  1. aExpected number of events per year