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Table 5 Minimum sample size to detect a change in transmission with 80, 90 and 95 % probability using AIC and under the assumption of a known or unknown true change point

From: Sample size and power calculations for detecting changes in malaria transmission using antibody seroconversion rate

   

Assumption on the true change point

Known

Unknown

SCR beforea

SCR aftera

True change pointb

80 %

90 %

95 %

80 %

90 %

95 %

0.0969

0.324

3

475

797

1284

660

1158

1942

  

5

356

562

857

441

707

1091

  

10

355

541

798

445

742

1187

 

0.0108

3

208

271

345

257

358

485

  

5

112

156

212

148

215

304

  

10

91

123

163

100

144

201

0.0324

0.0108

3

1324

2669

5091

1759

3236

5675

  

5

748

1322

2234

997

1706

2798

  

10

617

1104

1886

809

1513

2693

 

0.0036

3

443

755

1234

695

1118

1731

  

5

260

365

498

340

488

681

  

10

182

229

283

219

275

339

  1. aExpected number of events per year
  2. bYears before sampling