Skip to main content

Advertisement

Table 1 Summary of number of dams and projected average number of people living around dams in the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s in stable, unstable and no malaria zones across sub-Saharan Africa, using two future climate scenarios (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5)

From: Malaria and large dams in sub-Saharan Africa: future impacts in a changing climate

  2010 2020s 2050s 2080s
Area (sq. km) Population in the region No. dams (%) No. people within 5 km from reservoirs Area (sq. km) Population in the region No. dams No. people within 5 km from reservoirs Area (sq. km) Population in the region No. dams (%) No. people within 5 km from reservoirs Area (sq. km) Population in the region No. dams (%) No. people within 5 km from reservoirs
RCP 2.6
 Stable 7,086,268 298,682,666 307 (24) 6,406,226 7,408,321 361,264,297 354 (28) 7,198,341 8,264,718 489,811,003 377 (30) 8,872,392 9,113,482 546,622,885 386 (30) 10,097,454
 Unstable 14,459,409 418,451,433 416 (33) 8,193,239 14,378,791 462,113,462 433 (34) 9,202,466 13,666,490 590,443,015 645 (51) 12,105,161 12,972,969 682,788,932 628 (50) 14,713,709
 No malaria 2,042,223 273,355,662 545 (43) 5,605,474 1,800,788 322,401,006 481 (38) 4,891,743 1,656,692 281,714,037 246 (19) 4,048,543 1,501,449 319,587,199 254 (20) 3,310,021
 Total 23,587,900 990,489,781 1268 (100) 20,204,939 23,587,900 1,145,778,765 1268 (100 21,292,550 23,587,900 1,361,968,055 1268 (100 25,026,096 23,587,900 1,548,999,016 1268 (100) 28,121,184
RCP 8.5
 Stable 7,086,268 298,682,666 307 (24) 6,406,226 7,871,237 403,671,332 381 (30) 8,671,114 8,671,114 498,594,276 346 (27) 9,408,302 10,945,711 572,083,572 427 (34) 10,983,666
 Unstable 14,459,409 418,451,433 416 (33) 8,193,239 13,950,337 501,242,107 609 (48) 10,309,672 10,309,672 621,144,735 692 (55) 13,611,448 11,511,801 697,130,875 645 (51) 15,231,541
 No malaria 2,042,223 273,355,662 545 (43) 5,605,474 1,766,326 388,923,354 268 (21) 3,833,107 3,833,107 349,366,669 230 (18) 3,115,432 1,130,388 381,136,413 196 (15) 3,109,886
 Total 23,587,900 990,489,781 1268 (100) 20,204,939 23,587,900 1,293,836,793 1268 (100) 22,813,893 23,587,900 1,469,105,680 1268 (100) 26,135,182 23,587,900 1,650,350,860 1268 (100) 29,325,093