From: Malaria and large dams in sub-Saharan Africa: future impacts in a changing climate
 | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Additional malaria cases due to population increase (%)a | Additional malaria cases due to climate change (%) | Total additional malaria cases due to population increase and climate change | Additional malaria cases due to population increase (%) | Additional malaria cases due to climate change (%) | Total additional malaria cases due to population increase and climate change | Additional malaria cases due to population increase (%) | Additional malaria cases due to climate change (%) | Total additional malaria cases due to population increase and climate change | |
RCP 2.6 | |||||||||
 Stable | 205,158 (42) | 281,234 (58) | 486,392 | 638,737 (57) | 491,522 (43) | 1,130,259 | 956,028 (40) | 1,429,314 (60) | 2,385,342 |
 Unstable | 118,080 (46) | 136,618 (54) | 254,698 | 457,695 (43) | 607,223 (57) | 1,064,918 | 762,895 (44) | 951,742 (56) | 1,714,637 |
 Total | 323,238 (41) | 457,851 (59) | 781,089 | 1,096,432 (50) | 1,098,745 (50) | 2,195,177 | 1,718,923 (42) | 2,381,056 (58) | 4,099,979 |
RCP 8.5 | |||||||||
 Stable | 586,606 (61) | 373,335 (39) | 959,941 | 777,538 (43) | 1,046,756 (57) | 1,824,294 | 1,185,557 (44) | 1,483,908 (56) | 2,669,465 |
 Unstable | 147,623 (43) | 198,784 (57) | 346,407 | 633,930 (28) | 1,634,556 (72) | 2,268,486 | 823,481 (27) | 2,200,442 (73) | 3,023,923 |
 Total | 834,229 (59) | 572,119 (41) | 1,406,348 | 1,411,468 (34) | 2,681,312 (66) | 4,092,780 | 2,009,038 (35) | 3,684,350 (65) | 5,693,388 |