From: Time series analysis of malaria in Afghanistan: using ARIMA models to predict future trends in incidence
ARIMA model
Lag-2 EVI coefficient
Standard error
AIC
MSE
Model 1
−145.02
0.0088
Model 1 with Lag-2 EVI
0.6287
0.4719
−121.99
0.0142
Model 2
−132.18
0.0098
Model 2 with Lag-2 EVI
0.1728
0.7304
−147.92
0.0086