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Table 12 Probabilistic decision modelling: probabilities, expected cost and expected effect of treatment options

From: Economic evaluation of artesunate and three quinine regimens in the treatment of severe malaria in children at the Ebolowa Regional Hospital-Cameroon: a cost analysis

Treatment option

Pathway

Probabilities

Expected cost

Expected effect

ARTES

(1)

0.97

63.18

0.8900

(2)

0.00

0.00

0.0000

(3)

0.03

1.95

0.0276

 

65.13

0.9176

QLD

(4)

1.00

62.40

0.748

(5)

0.00

0.00

0.000

(6)

0.00

0.00

0.000

 

62.40

0.748

QNLD3

(7)

1.00

57.88

0.665

(8)

0.00

0.00

0.000

(9)

0.00

0.00

0.000

 

57.88

0.665

QNLD2

(10)

0.97

50.913

0.695

(11)

0.00

0.000

0.000

(12)

0.03

1.576

0.022

 

52.488

0.717