Fig. 3

Spectrum-projected impacts of malaria intervention scale-up in Nigeria, on selected health outcomes. a Coverage scale-up; b PfPR in children 2–9 years; c malaria case incidence rate in adults 15+ years; d malaria deaths in children 0–4 years. Coverage definitions as specified in “Methods” and Table 1. For SMC, coverage was scaled-up to 80% in eight northernmost states and to 40% in Bauchi state, yielding a nationwide coverage of about 18% from 2020