Integrating malaria surveillance with climate data for outbreak detection and forecasting: the EPIDEMIA system

Malaria Journal

Table 3 Classification of malaria risk levels

	Trend in incidence
	Increasing	Stable	Decreasing
Mean incidence
Above outbreak detection threshold	High	Medium	Medium
In between	Medium	Low	Low
Below expected incidence	Medium	Low	Low

Levels were assigned based on observed malaria incidence within the early detection window, and based on predicted future malaria incidence within the early warning window

ISSN: 1475-2875