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Table 3 Classification of malaria risk levels

From: Integrating malaria surveillance with climate data for outbreak detection and forecasting: the EPIDEMIA system

  Trend in incidence
Increasing Stable Decreasing
Mean incidence
 Above outbreak detection threshold High Medium Medium
 In between Medium Low Low
 Below expected incidence Medium Low Low
  1. Levels were assigned based on observed malaria incidence within the early detection window, and based on predicted future malaria incidence within the early warning window