Effect of anti-malarial interventions on trends of malaria cases, hospital admissions and deaths, 2005–2015, Ghana

Aregawi, Maru; Malm, Keziah L.; Wahjib, Mohammed; Kofi, Osae; Allotey, Naa-Korkor; Yaw, Peprah Nana; Abba-Baffoe, Wilmot; Segbaya, Sylvester; Owusu-Antwi, Felicia; Kharchi, Abderahmane T.; Williams, Ryan O.; Saalfeld, Mark; Workneh, Nibretie; Shargie, Estifanos Biru; Noor, Abdisalan M.; Bart-Plange, Constance

doi:10.1186/s12936-017-1828-6

Table 3 Percentage change in malaria admissions and deaths, and test positivity rate in 2015 compared to pre-scale-up period (2005-2010), in IRS-districts (24), and non-IRS districts (36) in Ashanti, Northern, Upper East, Upper West, and Western Regions, Ghana, 2005–2015

From: Effect of anti-malarial interventions on trends of malaria cases, hospital admissions and deaths, 2005–2015, Ghana

Stratum	Indicator	IRS, all ages				Non−IRS, all ages
		Baseline	Observed values	Observed relative change (%)	Predicted relative change compared to baseline (%)	Observed			Predicted relative change compared to baseline (%)
		Ave (2005−2010) P1	2015 P1	2015 P1	2015 p1	Ave (2005−2010) P1	2015 P1	Change % 2015 P1	2015 1
National	Outpatient malaria cases	167,030	143,774	−14	−47 (−79 to 30)	858,019	800,050	−7	−58 (−69 to−44)^†
	Malaria admissions	16,103	17,812	11	−68 (−87 to −21)^†	94,207	172,697	83	−35 (−63 to 15)
	Malaria deaths	424	166	−61	−88 (−95 to −71)^†	1608	1172	−27	−44 (−62 to −16)^†
	Aneamia inpatients	1797	6954	287	17 (−74 to 422)	13,090	38,379	193	9 (−85 to 669)
	Aneamia deaths	107	152	42	−38 (−80 to 90)	542	829	53	52 (−21 to 194)
	Tested (Mic)	76,758	143,162	87	110 (−69 to 1313)	302,938	457,757	51	−48 (−82 to 48)
	Positive (Mic)	19,670	17,552	−11	−76 (−94 to 2)	125,591	130,379	4	−68 (−88 to −17)^†
	Test positivity rate (mic)	27	12	−54	−89 (−95 to −77)^†	42	28	−32	−38 (−54 to −16)^†
	Proportion of outpatients	35	26	−26	−11 (−61 to 100)	44	29	−35	−30 (−35 to −23)^†
	Proportion of inpatients	25	17	−30	−56 (−71 to −33)^†	32	25	−23	−37 (−54 to −13)^†
	Proportion of deaths	18	6	−66	−87 (−96 to −63)^†	21	12	−42	−41 (−56 to −20)^†
	Non-malaria outpatient	470,715	544,484	16	−38 (−57 to −9)^†	1822,697	2,638,677	45	−38 (−54 to −15)^†
	Non-malaria inpatients	48,640	86,050	77	−6 (−51 to 83)	194,843	517,232	165	27 (−22 to 107)
	Non-malaria deaths	1977	2552	29	46 (−28 to 196)	6164	8587	39	4 (−32 to 59)

Negative percentages indicate decrease in the indicator while positive percentages indicate increase during the post-scale up period (2011–2015) compared to the pre-scale-up period
CI with symbol “†” is statistically significant

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