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Table 3 Estimated parameters of the statistical model. Parameters are presented as median and 95% credible intervals of the estimated posterior distribution

From: Population-level estimates of the proportion of Plasmodium vivax blood-stage infections attributable to relapses among febrile patients attending Adama Malaria Diagnostic Centre, East Shoa Zone, Oromia, Ethiopia

Parameter Description Data analysed
Proportions Total cases
Pf 0 Mean proportion/number of P. falciparum cases per month 9.4% (8.4, 10.4%) 27 (21, 33)
c Ratio of cases in dry season to wet season 0.69 (0.55, 0.84) 0.56 (0.28, 0.79)
κ Seasonal shape parameter 2.3 (1.5, 4.3) 3.0 (1.7, 7.0)
θ Offset for seasonal peak (0 = May 2015) 4.9 (4.4, 5.4) 5.1 (4.6, 5,5)
α Primary P. vivax cases relative to P. falciparum cases 1.17 (0.77, 1.49) 1.91 (1.19, 2.65)
β Relapses P. vivax cases relative to P. falciparum cases 1.72 (1.35, 2.12) 0.71 (0.13, 1.39)
δ Lag of relapse cases compared to primary cases 5.9 (5.2, 6.5) 4.8 (0.8, 10.8)
σ Standard deviation of case numbers 10.3 (7.4, 16.3)