Fig. 3
From: A stochastic model for the probability of malaria extinction by mass drug administration
Extinction probability by MDA coverage at various values of R c and clustering of secondary infections for a population size of 1000. The number of remaining infections post-MDA is assumed to have a Poisson distribution, and the number of secondary infections takes a negative binomial distribution with size parameter 100 (top), 50 (centre), 1 (bottom). The vertical red line indicates 95% MDA coverage