Skip to main content

Table 6 Simulation outputs for elimination and resurgence in terms of active surveillance coverage: here column labelled \(\mathbf {AS}\) shows the number of scenarios and the column labelled % shows the percentage of scenarios

From: Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination

Var.

Lev.

\(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0}}}\)

\(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0}}}\)

\(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0.025}}}\)

\(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0.025}}}\)

\(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0.1}}}\)

\(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0.1}}}\)

\(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0.2}}}\)

\(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0.2}}}\)

\(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {all}}}\)

\(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {all}}}\)

Elim.

0

7804

31.0

7812

31.0

7830

31.1

7786

30.9

31,232

31.0

1

17,389

69.0

17,382

69.0

17,367

68.9

17,406

69.1

69,544

69.0

p = 0.98

All

25,193

100.0

25,194

100.0

25,197

100.0

25,192

100.0

100,776

100.0

Resur.

0

10,499

41.7

10,793

42.8

11,672

46.3

12,829

50.9

45,793

45.4

1

14,694

58.3

14,401

57.2

13,525

53.7

12,363

49.1

54,983

54.6

p < 0.0001

All

25,193

100.0

25,194

100.0

25,197

100.0

25,192

100.0

100,776

100.0

  1. The subscript denotes the proportion of the population covered by active surveillance in each quarter. The rows for the variable, Elim. correspond to the scenarios where elimination occurred (Lev. 1) or did not occur (Lev. 0), and for the variable, Resur. correspond to the scenarios where resurgence occurred (Lev. 1) or did not occur (Lev. 0)