Skip to main content

Table 6 Simulation outputs for elimination and resurgence in terms of active surveillance coverage: here column labelled \(\mathbf {AS}\) shows the number of scenarios and the column labelled % shows the percentage of scenarios

From: Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination

Var. Lev. \(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0}}}\) \(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0}}}\) \(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0.025}}}\) \(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0.025}}}\) \(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0.1}}}\) \(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0.1}}}\) \(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {0.2}}}\) \(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {0.2}}}\) \(\mathbf {AS_{\mathrm {all}}}\) \(\mathbf {\%_{\mathrm {all}}}\)
Elim. 0 7804 31.0 7812 31.0 7830 31.1 7786 30.9 31,232 31.0
1 17,389 69.0 17,382 69.0 17,367 68.9 17,406 69.1 69,544 69.0
p = 0.98 All 25,193 100.0 25,194 100.0 25,197 100.0 25,192 100.0 100,776 100.0
Resur. 0 10,499 41.7 10,793 42.8 11,672 46.3 12,829 50.9 45,793 45.4
1 14,694 58.3 14,401 57.2 13,525 53.7 12,363 49.1 54,983 54.6
p < 0.0001 All 25,193 100.0 25,194 100.0 25,197 100.0 25,192 100.0 100,776 100.0
  1. The subscript denotes the proportion of the population covered by active surveillance in each quarter. The rows for the variable, Elim. correspond to the scenarios where elimination occurred (Lev. 1) or did not occur (Lev. 0), and for the variable, Resur. correspond to the scenarios where resurgence occurred (Lev. 1) or did not occur (Lev. 0)