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Table 7 Logistic regression of input model parameters on resurgence

From: Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination

Dependent variable:
  Resurgence 95% C.I.
Mean API during VC (per 1000) 1.077*** (1.072, 1.082)
Case Management Cov. 0.021*** (0.019, 0.023)
EIR 3.304*** (3.239, 3.371)
(10x) Active Surv. Cov. 0.590*** (0.574, 0.606)
0.2 ITN 0.152*** (0.136, 0.170)
0.5 ITN 0.066*** (0.058, 0.075)
0.8 ITN 0.040*** (0.035, 0.045)
IIR 1 10.409*** (9.784, 11.079)
IIR 10 16.165*** (14.998, 17.427)
R0063 0.839*** (0.751, 0.938)
R0065 0.442*** (0.394, 0.496)
R0068 0.798*** (0.715, 0.892)
R0111 0.873** (0.782, 0.975)
R0115 0.619*** (0.554, 0.692)
R0121 1.041 (0.933, 1.162)
R0125 1.356*** (1.217, 1.512)
R0131 1.344*** (1.205, 1.499)
R0132 1.860*** (1.669, 2.074)
R0133 1.241*** (1.113, 1.384)
R0670 1.068 (0.957, 1.192)
R0674 2.520*** (2.261, 2.810)
R0678 3.170*** (2.844, 3.535)
Constant 1.296*** (1.128, 1.488)
Observations 100,776  
Log Likelihood − 27,995.100  
Akaike Inf. Crit. 56,036.200  
  1. The number before “ITN” refers to the coverage of LLINs. The number after “IIR” refers to the importation rate in infections per 1000 people per year. The entries “R0063” through “R0678” refer to model variants (as described in more detail in the section, “Model variants”)
  2. * p < 0.1
  3. ** p < 0.5
  4. *** p < 0.01