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Table 7 Logistic regression of input model parameters on resurgence

From: Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination

Dependent variable:

 

Resurgence

95% C.I.

Mean API during VC (per 1000)

1.077***

(1.072, 1.082)

Case Management Cov.

0.021***

(0.019, 0.023)

EIR

3.304***

(3.239, 3.371)

(10x) Active Surv. Cov.

0.590***

(0.574, 0.606)

0.2 ITN

0.152***

(0.136, 0.170)

0.5 ITN

0.066***

(0.058, 0.075)

0.8 ITN

0.040***

(0.035, 0.045)

IIR 1

10.409***

(9.784, 11.079)

IIR 10

16.165***

(14.998, 17.427)

R0063

0.839***

(0.751, 0.938)

R0065

0.442***

(0.394, 0.496)

R0068

0.798***

(0.715, 0.892)

R0111

0.873**

(0.782, 0.975)

R0115

0.619***

(0.554, 0.692)

R0121

1.041

(0.933, 1.162)

R0125

1.356***

(1.217, 1.512)

R0131

1.344***

(1.205, 1.499)

R0132

1.860***

(1.669, 2.074)

R0133

1.241***

(1.113, 1.384)

R0670

1.068

(0.957, 1.192)

R0674

2.520***

(2.261, 2.810)

R0678

3.170***

(2.844, 3.535)

Constant

1.296***

(1.128, 1.488)

Observations

100,776

 

Log Likelihood

− 27,995.100

 

Akaike Inf. Crit.

56,036.200

 
  1. The number before “ITN” refers to the coverage of LLINs. The number after “IIR” refers to the importation rate in infections per 1000 people per year. The entries “R0063” through “R0678” refer to model variants (as described in more detail in the section, “Model variants”)
  2. * p < 0.1
  3. ** p < 0.5
  4. *** p < 0.01