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Table 9 Linear regression of input model parameters on severity of resurgence

From: Modelling the implications of stopping vector control for malaria control and elimination

Dependent variable
  Severity  
Case Management Coverage − 22.556*** (− 24.298, − 20.813)
EIR 25.260*** (25.017, 25.502)
(10x) Active Surv. Cov. − 22.729*** (− 23.277, − 22.180)
0.2 ITN 114.306*** (113.099, 115.513)
0.5 ITN 92.247*** (91.040, 93.454)
0.8 ITN 82.173*** (80.966, 83.380)
IIR 1 13.928*** (12.883, 14.973)
IIR 10 42.540*** (41.495, 43.586)
R0063 − 6.713*** (− 8.973, − 4.454)
R0065 − 9.736*** (− 11.994, − 7.477)
R0068 − 13.044*** (− 15.303, − 10.786)
R0111 − 0.193 (−2.451, 2.066)
R0115 − 3.134*** (− 5.392, − 0.876)
R0121 1.154 (− 1.104, 3.412)
R0125 7.293*** (5.035, 9.552)
R0131 3.567*** (1.309, 5.825)
R0132 9.814*** (7.556, 12.072)
R0133 4.119*** (1.861, 6.377)
R0670 2.113* (− 0.145, 4.371)
R0674 18.419*** (16.161, 20.677)
R0678 19.057*** (16.799, 21.315)
Constant − 84.218*** (− 86.361, − 82.076)
Observations 100,776  
R2 0.490  
Adjusted R2 0.490  
Residual Std. Error 69.120 (df = 100,754)  
F Statistic 4,603.479*** (df = 21; 100,754)  
  1. The number before “ITN” refers to the coverage of LLINs. The number after “IIR” refers to the importation rate in infections per 1000 people per year. The entries “R0063” through “R0678” refer to model variants (as described in more detail in the section, “Model variants”)
  2. * p < 0.1
  3. ** p < 0.5
  4. *** p < 0.01