Malaria early warning tool: linking inter-annual climate and malaria variability in northern Guadalcanal, Solomon Islands

Table 2 14-year northern Guadalcanal

Variable	p value	Adjusted R²	Coefficient	Intercept
Rainfall	7.42E−5	0.72 [0.27, 0.86]	− 0.0055 [− 0.0036, − 0.0076]	2.738 [1.844, 3.941]
MSL	0.033	0.27 [0, 0.67]	− 5.5236 [− 10.132, − 1.252]	3.683 [0.962, 7.113]
NINO3.4	0.036	0.26 [0, 0.62]	0.1497 [0.0092, 0.2803]	0.052 [− 0.337, 0.513]
SOI	0.079	0.17 [0, 0.62]	− 0.0146 [− 0.0329, 0.0017]	0.095 [− 0.338, 0.616]

Summary of linear regression results for data including 95% bootstrap confidence intervals in brackets (1000 bootstrap samples). Rainfall for the October–December period exhibited the strongest relationship with the climate-associated malaria transmission in the subsequent 6-month period for northern Guadalcanal (January–June)

ISSN: 1475-2875