Malaria early warning tool: linking inter-annual climate and malaria variability in northern Guadalcanal, Solomon Islands

Table 5 October–December rainfall and subsequent January–June malaria incidence

Model	Tercile	Events	Controls	U-score	p value
Guadalcanal (CMT_GP)	Upper	7	14	95 [89, 98]	p = 0.0001
Guadalcanal (CMT_GP)	Lower	7	14	91 [78, 98]	p = 0.0008
Northern Guadalcanal (CMT_NG)	Upper	4	10	40 [40]	p = 0.0020
Northern Guadalcanal (CMT_NG)	Lower	4	10	33 [23, 40]	p = 0.0759

Summary of non-parametric test statistical test results with 95% bootstrap confidence intervals shown where applicable (1000 bootstrap samples)

ISSN: 1475-2875