Fig. 5

Percent change in malaria incidence associated with a 10% increase in the proportion of treatments for P. falciparum containing artemisinin (top row), proportion of the population living in urban areas (middle row), and proportion of the population protected by vector control measures (bottom row), by region and nationwide, as predicted by models using these three covariates only. The circle shows the mean effect size, the solid line shows the 95% confidence interval, and the dotted lines shows the 99.9% confidence interval. Outcome variable used in model is indicated by color. For clarity, the x-axis has been limited to range from – 90 to 90%