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Table 5 Uni- and multivariable mixed effects logistic regression models to assess the potential influence of changes in bed net ownership, SES and NDVI between visit 1 and visit 2 on change of P. falciparum RDT result from positive at visit 1 to negative at visit 2

From: Reduction of malaria prevalence after introduction of artemisinin-combination-therapy in Mbeya Region, Tanzania: results from a cohort study with 6773 participants

Covariate

N

N-chgd.

%-chgd.

Univariable

Multivariable

OR

95% CI

p value

OR

95% CI

p value

Gender

 Femalea

3663

80

2.18

1.00

– to –

–

1.00

– to –

–

 Male

3106

80

2.58

1.17

(0.97 to 1.41)

0.0950

1.12

(0.94 to 1.35)

0.2042

Age at visit 1, years

 0– < 5a

1026

16

1.56

1.00

– to –

–

1.00

– to –

–

 5– < 10

1158

32

2.76

1.95

(1.31 to 2.88)

0.0009

1.94

(1.29 to 2.91)

0.0013

 10– < 20

1592

67

4.21

3.00

(2.12 to 4.26)

< 0 .0001

2.98

(2.10 to 4.23)

< 0.0001

 20– < 40

1720

25

1.45

0.98

(0.49 to 1.99)

0.9658

0.99

(0.47 to 2.07)

0.9823

 ≥ 40

1273

20

1.57

1.02

(0.50 to 2.07)

0.9588

1.00

(0.49 to 2.03)

0.9947

Change in bed net ownership

 Lost net

211

8

3.79

0.74

(0.67 to 0.82)

< 0.0001

0.76

(0.57 to 1.02)

0.0669

 No changea

6170

141

2.29

1.00

– to –

–

1.00

– to –

–

 Received net

388

11

2.84

0.99

(0.49 to 1.98)

0.9732

1.04

(0.48 to 2.24)

0.9209

Change in SES score

 (Per unit)

–

–

–

0.93

(0.74 to 1.17)

0.5614

0.96

(0.70 to 1.31)

0.7984

Relative change in NDVI

 Per 1% change

–

–

–

1.10

(1.00 to 1.21)

0.0565

1.10

(0.99 to 1.22)

0.0756

  1. Using robust variance estimates and including site and household as random effects to adjust for clustering, N = 6769
  2. N number of observations, N-chgd. and %-chgd. number and percentage of participants who changed from P. falciparum positive at visit 1 to negative at visit 2, OR odds ratio, 95% CI 95% confidence interval
  3. a Reference stratum