Fig. 1
Fitted relationship between MAF and PfPR0–5. a Initial modelled median relationship (blue line) between MAF (as a proportion of malaria-positive fevers) in children under 5 years of age, and PfPR0–5, fit only to empirical observations of MAF from the DHS Program household survey dataset, with survey data-points (grey points) overlain; b original modelled median relationship as described in the previous plot (blue line), and final rescaled model median fit (red line), after optimizing scaling parameters using the remaining three literature-derived datasets. Observation points from the three literature-derived datasets are overlain (red points); and c final fitted relationship between MAF (as a proportion of malaria-positive fevers) in children under 5 years of age, and PfPR0–5. The black line represents the median, with decreasing grey shading representing the 68% and 95% credible intervals, respectively