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Fig. 6 | Malaria Journal

Fig. 6

From: Modelling reactive case detection strategies for interrupting transmission of Plasmodium falciparum malaria

Fig. 6

Proportion of eliminated simulations by relative follow up capacity. Blue represents the proportion of eliminated simulations where elimination is attributable to RCD (PAF), relative to the total proportion of eliminated simulations (red). Simulations were aggregated by relative follow up capacity in 10% intervals, thus each data point presents varying numbers of simulations with generally fewer simulations for ratios above 1. Mean PAFs (dots) and 95% CI (gray area) were calculated and a LOESS smoothing function with 0.75 span was fitted through the data (blue line). E14 is the probability of effective treatment of any clinical case within 14 days, \(\iota_{max}\) is the maximum number of individuals that can be followed up per 5 days, and max(INC) is the maximum 5-day incidence throughout the simulation period

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