Table 2 Parameter estimates for the best negative binomial model explaining the number of malaria cases as function of the transmission time segment and ENSO phase
From: Long-term transmission patterns and public health policies leading to malaria elimination in Panamá
Parameter | Case number change | Estimate | Std. error | z value | Pr( >|z|) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ENSO-Normal 1957–1970 | 3364.38 | 8.12 | 0.15 | 54.15 | < 2e−16* |
1971–2001 | 0.17 | − 1.77 | 0.16 | − 10.77 | < 2e−16* |
2002–2005 | 1.17 | 0.16 | 0.32 | 0.50 | 0.62 |
2006–2018 | 0.21 | − 1.58 | 0.19 | − 8.32 | < 2e−16* |
ENSO-Cold | 1.37 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 1.89 | 0.059 |
ENSO-Hot | 1.38 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 2.19 | 0.028* |
Overdispersion | 3.98 | 0.68 | – | – | – |