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Table 2 Predictive effect of socio-demographic indices and baseline covariates

From: Evaluating the predictive performance of malaria antibodies and FCGR3B gene polymorphisms on Plasmodium falciparum infection outcome: a prospective cohort study

Model specification

LR, p-value

BCV AUROC (%)

BCV BS(%)

RMSE

R2

Standard model (S)

5.34, 0.7209

51.0

12.0

0.35

0.01

Spline model

8.08, 0.8387

49.0

11.0

0.33

0.10

Slope corrected optimism model (SCFM)

7.32,0.7844

49.0

11.0

0.33

0.10

PMLE model

5.76, 0.7360

50.0

10.0

0.32

0.17

  1. LR: Likelihood Ratio test statistic; BCV: Bootstrap cross-validation; RMSE: Root Mean Squared Error; R2: Proportion of explained variation in predicted risk; AUCROC: Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, BS: Brier score