Global estimation of anti-malarial drug effectiveness for the treatment of uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum malaria 1991–2019

Table 2 Model assessment and selection in estimation of anti-malarial drug effectiveness

Metric	Non- artemisinin anti-malarial drugs				Artemisinin-based anti-malarial drugs
Metric	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 4	Model 1	Model 2	Model 3	Model 4
WAIC	3897.03	3760.59	3757.10	3749.13	4898.14	4855.83	4838.53	4800.72
RMSE	0.171	0.167	0.165	0.165	0.039	0.038	0.037	0.037
R-squared	0.635	0.654	0.664	0.665	0.86	0.87	0.88	0.89

Model 1—no covariates; Model 2—national level covariates; Model 3—environmental and climate covariates; Model 4—a combination of environmental, climate and national level covariates
WAIC Watanabe Akaike information criterion, RMSE root mean squared errors

ISSN: 1475-2875